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In another way programs and adjustments of system are rearranged, that does using by them more convenient. First, the system of work with is changed by the user, now it is possible to change the level (user/administrator), and the system will give out inquiries on acknowledgement of actions which can cause for it harm. The center of mobility all adjustments are grouped in one place, that facilitates adjustment. It is realized also the network center now such functions as support a plenty network structures, autoswitching between by networks and so forth, structures of safety for networks, etc are realized. In more detail it is possible to read through including in analytical materials on our resource. Some reasonings about volumes and growth of the market by results of the round table lead by company Toshiba September, fifth 20 in office of company Toshiba has passed code layout myspace notebook it is extreme an interesting round table. The meeting with representatives of mass-media has been devoted to a problem estimations of the Russian market noutbukov by the various expert companies. In a meeting took part employees of representation Toshiba Igor Snytko and Oleg Korchagin, and also the representative of distribution company ElKo-Moskva. Facts For the beginning costs to stop on the resulted figures and the facts, and already then to represent debatable positions and opinions of participants of discussion. Representatives Toshiba during have presented discussion two slides. The first from them shows a comparative estimation of volume of market Toshiba and Gartner. On to own data of the company, the volume of the market noutbukov in 20 will make 6 units (and Toshiba approves, that this forecast was given still in February). Gartner gives following data: in February - 8 2 units, in May the forecast has fallen up to 6 584, in August the figure code layout myspace notebook has fallen up to 5 1 units (data are taken from presented slide Toshiba). By the way, costs to note one important detail - whence data for the analytical companies undertake. As a rule, these given companies receive « a method of expert interrogation », that is employees of representations or other offices of manufacturers(«vendorov»), and also employees of distributors rather volumes of sold technics are interrogated. On the basis of the received figures the analytical companies build the materials and forecasts of development of the market which then sell the same to representations and to distributors, and also other to interested persons. It is clear, that already the technique causes a lot questions which will be shined further. But we shall return to to the presented data. Apparently from the first slide (given companies Gartner are taken), the February forecast has been overestimated in code layout myspace notebook comparison with August on 3 pieces at present the forecast corrected up to 6 000. While we shall leave in the party not round figures Gartner and we shall look on other slide. Having pressed on a picture, it is possible to look a slide in high sanction On it data of the different analytical companies on the second quarter 2006 are cited, that is it is constructed already on to known results of activity of the companies in this period. At it the volume of the market at all has turned out different, at Toshiba it is 2 pieces, at Gartner - 3 455, and at IDC - 3 767. And it it is a question already about the closed quarter, that is data should to be precise and objective. The second, that is amazing it very much different shares of the companies on the market. The maximal disorder, and with code layout myspace notebook greater otry'vom, one company, Rover Computers. Its share is specified as % at IDC and as % at Gartner. Divergences in shares of other companies, probably, in much are caused by divergences in this to an estimation and that, that shares are considered from different volumes of the market in the whole. At last, before to pass to a following part, it would be desirable to note for one more aspect - calculations on « the grey market ». Both representatives Toshiba, and representative ELKO it is confident declared, that now, at existing volumes of the market and a distribution network to shortchange the market in the whole it is easy enough, as it is clear, how many and that is delivered in the country. Certainly, at once there was a question rather « grey deliveries » models of different manufacturers, not intended for the Russian market, including such brands as Sony, Dell and itself Toshiba. Representatives of both companies insisted on volume, that volumes of grey import now too are code layout myspace notebook insignificant, that to render though any influence on total amount the market and structure of sales. Besides on to their applications, all "grey" distributors are known, and with them the struggle directed on reduction of their share due to of increase of a share of official localized deliveries is conducted. I a little doubt in these applications as grey production of the specified brands all the same is presented on the market it is wide enough, enough to be passed on any market or to take advantage of search systems. But while we shall assume, that a share of " grey deliveries » is possible to neglect. Position Toshiba the Sounded position of company Toshiba and distributors (at a meeting the position of company ElKo-Moskva has been sounded) consists in the following. Rates of growth of the market noutbukov in 20 it is obvious are slowed down, and to code layout myspace notebook repeat so impressing figures which have been reached in 2005, any more it will not be possible. At the same time, the analytical companies built the basic forecasts, proceeding from data for 20 year. Accordingly, annual forecasts of the analytical companies have appeared overestimated, that is in the beginning 20 what it is real will turn out by results of year was predicted considerably greater volume of the market noutbukov, than. These overestimated forecasts of analysts it is inevitably negative will affect on all participants of the Russian market noutbukov, in particular, vendorah and distributors. In opinion the companies, the overestimated forecasts create the overestimated expectations at vendorov, distributors and retail sellers. Therefore at drawing up of own plans of activity they put more high volumes of manufacture, import and sales for our region. And when all already is made and imported in the country, will be found out, that the market not is ready to accept such volume, on production is not present demand. Accordingly, the distributor code layout myspace notebook remains with not sold noutbukami, enclosed in them money appear «zavisshimi». And to sell these stocks it will be possible, only having directed additional means on their promotion on the market (that is, having thrown them in marketing), and also having made them more competitive on the market (and the basic way here - reduction of price). Accordingly, on the distributor lays down great volume additional charges, it is strong decreases marja profits. In the long term it can result even to leaving the distributor with the market and to the termination official sales, and supports of a brand in the country. The overestimated plans, concerning growth of the market, also it is negative affect and on activity of representations which too plan the activity, in much leaning on independent forecasts of the analytical companies. To representations also the certain plans are put, allocated money on promotion and support of production, from them it is required the certain result. If all this pays off proceeding from the wrong overestimated parameters, in the end of year, at summarizing, it code layout myspace notebook turns out, that planned targets not are reached (sometimes, the truth, turns out on the contrary, but about this case - in other section). Result of it can become reduction of budgets on promotion of production in the following to year, that will result to reduction shares, loss the market, accordingly, to smaller distribution production on the market, etc., and, probably, loss the market in the whole. Thus, reassessment of the market by the analytical companies in the long term conducts to to significant negative consequences for participants of the market, and through it - and for the market in the whole. And such situation already will strike on to consumers. In the long term vendory' can considerably cut down expenses on promotion of production and its support on the market, distributors can it is cardinal reduce standard items production or to leave from business. All this will result to destabilizations of the market, to a rise in prices and occurrence deficiency. To you code layout myspace notebook it is terrible? To me is not present. And now I shall explain why. So glasses is or them is not present? Any more in glasses business... (M. Zhvanetsky) all over again costs briefly to stop on a question, there is a fact of the overestimated forecast of volumes of the market from the analytical companies or not? Sees two basic explanations for a current situation. The analytical companies build the forecast on the basis of the data given by it, and it is adequate to a market situation, and the forecast of company Toshiba or is underestimated (with any purposes), or it is simple not considers all situation on the market, because of what the picture turns out incomplete. 2. The forecast of the analytical companies is overestimated (by virtue of any reasons, assumptions we shall discuss further), actually, volume of the market noutbukov in 20 below, than is presented in forecasts of the analytical companies, and representatives Toshiba it is correct have lifted a problem. Let's while leave in the party the first script as if it it is code layout myspace notebook true a problem concerns only calculations of representation Toshiba and anybody it is more, therefore to argue about the market it is not necessary. And too it seems to me, that forecasts it is valid have created too an optimistic picture of growth, the market not can grow the same rates, as in the last years. Therefore let's try think, that will occur with the market, if the second script is true. By the way, costs to note, that Toshiba on my memory of the first has lifted a problem of an inadequate estimation of the Russian market the analytical companies (on the western markets similar problems were considered, but in the core without any results). However, if forecasts it is valid have appeared overestimated, other representations and distributors too should to be dissatisfied with it, even because for correct planning of activity is necessary exact objective and the independent forecast, and the overestimated forecast (let even pleasant for the companies) in accuracy to reproach in any way it is impossible. Magic code layout myspace notebook figures or the ballad about initial data If to try to analyse the developed situation the first question which it is necessary to consider - whence figures undertake, on the basis of which any analytical forecasts are under construction? Above I it is brief have told the standard technique of reception of figures for calculation. It is obvious, that the technique it is extreme is subjective and it is necessary on « knowing people inside parties ». To what results such approach in other branches of our poor economy - it is clearly visible. I think, costs to reject the assumption, that the analytical company of a world level specially overestimates given on the market with the purpose of its destabilization (first, it it is not necessary for it, and secondly, it all the same is capable seriously to strike on itsreputations, and the code layout myspace notebook reputation for the analytical company is all). At the same time, all initial figures turn out from expert interrogation. That is the data, concerning activity certain vendora or the distributor on the market, the analytical company receives from its employees having the information about volumes of activity. But figures, it is such thing... Still Zhvanetsky joked on this theme, describing a computer knowing definition free hotel accommodations: « Only who to it the quantity of free numbers will tell?.. It is all sweets, all greetings... All authority to take and bad to the machine to give! » . Certainly, it is possible to inform analysts real figures, but what from it profit, except for consciousnesses, what you fair? (it it is important for self-estimations, but in Russia to be fair it is complex - if on the West fair earns less at us starves to death). Therefore for the expert there code layout myspace notebook comes the complex moment - to overestimate figures of sales, that to emphasize, what you the good fellow (and to receive under it is the premium, a bonus, means on development), or to underestimate, that they though somehow corresponded to quantity, on which were considered the sums of payments for customs. But more likely wins the first. Why? Because the responsibility any, and bonuses with it it is possible to receive much. You have told it is " little bit more " or have counted « a little not so ». Also what? And anything. At it, certainly, directly will overestimate figures nobody. But even without it at the expert there is a plenty ways to tighten up data in necessary to it the party. By the way, a question rather that, as well as that to consider (to consider shipped or put, planned or imported, sold or acted on a warehouse, etc.), Also it was discussed on a round table, and all refer, that at this process is a lot of subtleties. From the above-stated it is code layout myspace notebook possible to draw a following conclusion: adequacy of " final data » in much depends from adequacy of the given initial information. And only naive representatives of distributors can consider, that « only we is a little shall overestimate, and it will be is absolutely imperceptible ». However, here there is a reasonable question, that mechanics of process « how many is let out - how many to be sold » should enough precise and it like it would be possible precisely to trace. But, unfortunately, it it is bad works even on the western markets, and about Russian and to speak there is nothing. And there is it because of wide the widespread element which and allows to support a situation in the necessary channel - an element of privacy or, as it is named in a western way, confidentiality. Its essence in volume, that you not can check up the presented figures, as all real data about manufacture, distribution and selling are coded. In narrow to a code layout myspace notebook circle the limited people! (L.I.Brezhnev), or about advantage friendly communications Ours uncle Dzho never is mistaken! And who it speaks! Uncle Dzho! And you to it trust?! Certainly, it never is mistaken! in activity of the analytical company after gathering of results should to be a following stage their processing and delivery of results. On this stage we also we can to observe the broadest open space for creativity. From the situation looks so: employees of distributors, representations and experts of the analytical companies exchange any data in narrow to a circle, somehow them shorthand, something with them do and the average data describing the market in whole » represent on court of the public certain « processed and. The basic focus here here in what: From it is impossible to check up primary data, design procedures, any other characteristics, except for a quantity final figures. In (in!) The initial information is closed. Reflect still about one thing: these people it is close communicate among themselves, and data give out in certain « the open world » which, as a rule, code layout myspace notebook not see and with which, as a rule, not communicate. That is at these people there are intracorporate interests, intrigues and attitudes. And the data leaving « in an external world », first, them especially not worry as attitudes with it at them is not present, a feedback too, and secondly, not have any communication with their reality (and, in general, they not require in it). The market it is obedient eats any forecasts, at it experts, concerning to technical to the party a question, feverishly different data compare, trying on them to a basis to deduce correct strategy, instead of having sit it is quiet, as trust these figures at once and unconditionally. The analytical companies are mistaken it is constant, but for some reason anybody for it not reproaches them, their opinion still it is considered firm. Our code layout myspace notebook journalists in due time analyzed a situation with by the manufacturer of memory Rambus, - there a difference between a real life (technologies, proceedings, a situation on the market) and "forecasts" of the analytical companies (and, accordingly, stock quotes the companies) was market so striking, that otorop' took. At worst is a consequence of limitation of initial data and unwillingness completely to consider a situation on the market, in the worst - arrangement with the purpose to give to the market that form which is favourable the participant of arrangement. A rhetorical question: what it is better - quickly to rake business (or « to help to the necessary person », having specified desirable shares of distribution of the market) and "to draw" the necessary figures, in any approach reflecting sitaciyu on the code layout myspace notebook market, or to rest in « honesty and objectivity of data » which all the same than nobody is necessary? At it in fact independently to check up the received figures it is impossible, therefore it turns out, it is conditional speaking, a following situation: the analytical companies give out certain figures, a reality and which adequacy is guaranteed only by reputation of this most analytical company. Here it is frequent it is resulted that a reason, that the authority earns years and reputation is more dear money. However in the modern world reputation only one from the criteria influencing on capitalization of the company, to be exact a brand. Therefore and the reputation of the company is the goods. Analytical practically the unique goods, due to which it is possible to earn money. But nevertheless. It would Seem, the company should to code layout myspace notebook protect the reputation in every way! But in fact in practice all not so. In the modern world to all participants of the market it is favourable to keep this aura impartial and the objective appraiser, especially if there is an opportunity to use a rear entrance to it. As companies it is necessary to operate any with data in attitudes among themselves. As to managers of the companies too it is necessary to report before board of directors or shareholders, and there data of the leading analytical companies will have considerably greater weight, than own data, let even the last will be in time is more exact. A brand this trust. And the trust is belief. And belief for it when it is not necessary to give reason and to prove. That, actually, we also it is observable. Lyrical digression. In the world there are five auditor companies, trust to which it is absolute. The authority of these companies so is great, that their press on the certificate of check is equated for printing « these are original reports ». But, if you remember, recently there was an accident of code layout myspace notebook company Enron which horror was not in volume, that Enron fabricated annual reports for shareholders and the market. The horror was in volume, that for the certain percent from there "have arrived" employees of leading world auditor ArthurAnderson stamped these left reports, that, confirming their validity. This auditor company with a world name has gone bankrupt because of Enron, because has lost the main thing - trust. But it is one company has got once, and the resonance was too large that it it is possible was to extinguish. In conditions when remains all such the companies, the world market and its participants will make practically everything, that their number not decreased, because they depend from each other. That brings us to an interesting idea - if not to bury and not to stamp especially breath-taking reports, postscripts and a manipulation in figures should to pass. For certain and pass, but about it not write, that code layout myspace notebook « not to shake the market ». And this one from the basic differences of our world from ideal. Therefore a conclusion: the company loses reputation not when tightens up figures, and when it on it catch with in figures, the facts, to proofs and enough victims, that to cause interest of free press. About values of the western society, such as transparency and accountability (a transparency and an opportunity to report about figures), or privacy above all Above already repeatedly paid attention, that practically skews in the analysis of the market have all in roots privacy, about one aspect we even have talked. Closeness of initial data allows somehow to manipulate with « data for press ». At us is absent on what all western society - a transparency is based. And what such a transparency? The Transparency is code layout myspace notebook a granting in the open access of all important data about activity and an opportunity to providethe independent control. Certainly, in this situation are possible and abusings freedom of the information, but them it is possible to stop, and the damage from them will be it is less, than the general advantage from stability, predictabilities and opennesses of the market. But... The open market always is harmful for fans to catch a small fish in muddy to water - that here, that on the West. And consequently any the classified information is an opportunity of abusings. In case the classified information is in general in the existing information a situation it turns out it is extreme interesting, first of all, for those who owns this information. And, as is known who owns the information - owns the world. Therefore real figures to you nobody will inform. Probably, to you it will be possible to learn data of turns and profits. Perhaps, having spent a plenty time and forces, you will code layout myspace notebook find some general data about manufacture. But a full objective picture (even on it, it it is enough the general level) you not receive. And time not receive an objective picture your conclusions too not can be objective. About figures and percent for press At last, after all analyses, the analytical companies give to the clients final given and forecasts. The part of these data besides is coded and used only vendorami and by distributors in conversations among themselves, the part gets in « the open access ». Let's look, what exactly gets « on a table ». As you remember (and it it is visible on slides above), shares always are considered in percentage. And total amount the market - in pieces (and with not clear rounding off and approach as it is obvious, that the account is conducted not to code layout myspace notebook within units). That is, as a rule, the unique figure (and that in huge approach), the rest it is necessary «domy'slivat'» on it for a basis is given, recalculating "percent" in pieces with by monstrous mistakes. So? Further, the same Toshiba it is open declares - in our opinion, this figure wrong. That is that unique figure which is accessible to public in analytical reports - most "wrong" and is. Then all these diagrams lose sense. And if still to think that, as the diagram presented Toshiba, too not the true in last instance - that turns out, that to make a start from what it is impossible. And before to pass to to concrete examples, I shall open even more terrible secret. The presented diagrams are useless, therefore and get in the open access. In fact that is possible to understand, having compared, we shall admit, shares Acer, Lenovo (by'vsh. IBM) and Toshiba? What the consumer will code layout myspace notebook understand about quality and equipment noutbukov? What choice will make? Yes anything, as greater share Acer has turned out due to cheap models, and a break-even sales level at a brand depends not from that, how much the model, and from that is successful in the technical plan, how much this brand is untwisted and what prices exposes. Reliability matters in the long term, but is prospect, and it take into consideration, when the situation « not burns », and in conditions of current price pressure it it is impossible. At a sight on these diagrams it seems to the usual consumer, that Acer - more abruptly because it buy it is more. And about a guarantee and breakages here nothing is told. Accordingly, a conclusion the presented diagrams an essence one from ways of PR by the company of the achievements before shareholders and, at the same time, users, but in any way the objective estimation of the market, and helps to the consumer not can in general. The average temperature on hospital or as to shortchange service noutbukov At last, give we shall pay attention still here, code layout myspace notebook on what. The analytical companies, and after them and vendory' with distributors it is very frequent operate with such category as « average indices on the market » (it, actually, and there is a unique popular information). Yes, for marketing it is good, but, besides, whether bear these figures any sense? So, at us there are « average figures on the market » and at us there is some statistics. We already were defined, that the companies (any companies) not share initial figures, they always share certain average sizes, and these « average sizes » with a high share of probability is possible to name "updated". They are considered so: « Initial size + % of impudence making ». In the set forth above slide the share of company Rover computers makes, according to one analytical company, %, and according to another - %. It as? What, Rover computers gave the different companies so differing figures? Or figures undertook from different sources? Or the part noutbukov (Igor Snytko in the performance spoke, that the difference has turned out approximately in 400 pieces) Roverbook has passed through distribution channels which « have forgotten code layout myspace notebook to interrogate »? By the way, in this connection one amusing episode was recollected, when on final conference Toshiba in 20 (the report it is possible to look at us on a site) the schedule of division of the market on shares was resulted (it seems, in execution IDC), in which « not have shortchanged » company Asus, one from leaders of the market. In general. It was the interesting schedule! From the general to the particular! But this all the general data, give it is a little we shall go down in a reality as far to go it is not necessary - all examples it is possible was to see at the same meeting! The matter is that the meeting consisted from three parts. In the brief review of corporate strategy Toshiba has been given to the code layout myspace notebook first part (it is beyond the given material as anything, that it it it would be possible was to discuss, it has been told not), in by the second - took place actually a round table (without participations of companies Gartner and IDC which data were discussed - them not have invited. However, they, probably, and not send as to discuss for them there is especially nothing, and to be justified - especially), and in the third part it has been lead... Presentation new noutbuka! That is, on the same a round table representatives Toshiba " at the same time " have lead presentation new Tecra A8. Leaving in the party zabavnost' most this situation, we shall cling to one to figure. At the description of model the following information which sense was to emphasize high reliability noutbukov Toshiba has been resulted: « At us marriage 0, % from all noutbukov. And the general on branches - % ». At once there is a question - and whence the figure of % has undertaken? It that, if at Toshiba 0, code layout myspace notebook % at someone of 29, %, it is conditional speaking? And someone has admitted in such marriage of production? And the main thing - who these unfortunate? And why on press conferences with the enviable regularity appear figures in 2 % of marriage (maximum), and in conversations with tehnikami - 8 % (success it is considered %, failure - up to half noutbukov a concrete ruler in service in the first year of use)? These are rhetorical questions as the answer on them to receive, it appears, it is simply impossible. By the way, Igor Snytko at the same meeting answered on a question about « the emerged case » mass marriage noutbukov Toshiba which recently was discussed in press. And has answered, that it there was « an insignificant party » which has got, nevertheless, practically in all the European countries. code layout myspace notebook I know still a minimum about two cases of " global marriage » certain models at other manufacturers, but this information is based on hearings and private conversations, therefore in clause it I shall result not. But we shall return to the first question - whence such percent has undertaken? These are real figures or again result of policy « and this party we shall throw on next quarter, and this as though not was, and it we shall write off on not guarantee repairs » or banal juggling in figures? (or "informal"?) . Probably. Only it is interesting and it how then to have a talk independent (or authorized) services which bought details at the rate of % of marriage, and marriage it has appeared all %? Whom should to blame service-centers for zavisshie spare parts? The analytical companies? Or those who gave code layout myspace notebook them figure? I any more speak about to a return situation when were guided on 0, % instead of %, spare parts it has appeared it is not enough therefore users "have got" already. Though on users in the country, where normal for deliveries of spare parts (with rare exception, and these companies cause at me respect though speed of delivery of spare parts is in direct dependence from costs noutbukov) it it is considered days and so turn it is not enough attention after sales by it next «jelezki». Figures turn out strange, and if to consider, that everyone speak about the same (« at us percent of marriage considerably below an average on the market ») and it is at all not clear as as considered. Therefore let's return to a problem a transparency lifted in of the previous part. At Toshiba there is a statistics of refusals. They give it to analysts. They not give it to me. Why? I in fact mass-media? Because I, God forbid, shall write, that technics Toshiba breaks. I and so shall write it (it code layout myspace notebook it is clear, that all breaks), but without figures it not will have due effect. Thus, the above described situation turns out. On the "open" level gets one figure - a level of refusals of %. Whence it is known? Is the classified information. As was considered is the classified information. Whether Oa? Whether? aNO? n percent of marriage on to series? - you already have understood... And at the market of %. How considered? According to the analytical companies. How they considered?, etc. Privacy in the given question allows manufacturers to leave from a question « and whence figures have undertaken? », and « why the information for the mass-media so it is essential misses with in real figures? » . It is necessary to fill to a fog, to hang up on all a signature stamp "confidentially" and further to draw the necessary figures « for press » which help at the decision of own problems, but it is absolute are useless (and generally are harmful, as any lie is harmful) at attempt objectively toestimate pluss and minuses of the market or concrete model. Certainly, code layout myspace notebook not manages and without excesses, sometimes the information about mass refusals (and unsuccessful or defective parties happen at all manufacturers) all the same gets in press, scandal turns out, because users and the mass-media not have got used to to such figures, and they at them cause a shock. I, certainly, understand, that consumers in the to weight too not especially objective people, and the company, which the first will present "fair" figures of refusals (under condition of current strategy of others) by'stren'ko will take off from business. But, nevertheless, it is not necessary to go too far so in other party. Long and boring conclusions, or the Market and the Competition To wait to us for an apocalypse or not? I think, no. Simply representations and distributors at us have got used to work in hothouse conditions of deficiency, when all code layout myspace notebook will be swept away and will be swept away on to any prices. When on a background of the small market with greater and quickly growing demand easily to create to itself those figures of growth which are necessary (they in fact are considered in percentage), and also it is easier a lung to sell everything, that has delivered. Buyers it is more, than we thought - anything terrible, through month we shall drag still, and they while will wait, in fact to buy it there is nothing... In my opinion, it is necessary to thank the analytical companies that they « have shaken a boat » (if it it is valid so). That the management of slow multinational monsters, such as Sony and Dell, at last, has decided to make happy the Russian market with the presence. That Hewlett-Packard, at last (through five years it is, not less, as I have heard about them first time if it is no more), has decided to code layout myspace notebook present a ruler house noutbukov Pavilion and for the Russian market. That they have created at the western management of the companies opinion, that the market is ready to accept great volumes production, that for this market costs to struggle. That many representations and distributors have regained consciousness from long-term hibernation. Yes, I sympathize with representations and to distributors. If it now will unscrew hands and will force to accept great volumes, put more high rods they can to get in unpleasant (for itself) a situation. But I - not the employee of representation or the distributor. I am an employee of mass-media, and focused on the consumer. Problems which can turn out from a current situation - a minus for them, but plus for us. Imagine, that will begin, when distributors will remain with huge quantity of not sold goods on hands. If to exclude a variant « to strew a head ashes and to wait while will buy », at them remains one way - to increase pressure on the market that to sell that is. And it means code layout myspace notebook - more the low prices (sales, specakcii and the other successful moments that to buy road noutbuk it is cheap) and more aggressive marketing (that is, it is conditional speaking, at last will start to think that advertising was it is not simple "any", for ticks, and normal, capable to involve the buyer). And if any the model not was on sale, means, it was is worse, understand? Means, experts in marketing and engineers at its release have miscalculated. And at a saturated market the responsibility for these oshibki, for incompetence of these people all the same will be born by the company, their employed. Whereas in conditions of deficiency this honorary duties is shifted on the user who is compelled all over again to buy not suitable to it model noutbuka, and then to buy in addition to it those devices which will allow nepodhodyasch'est' somewhat to compensate code layout myspace notebook this or to wait on five times, while noutbuk month will lay in guarantee repair, that to eliminate primary constructive defects of model. Unless it it is fair? No. But it allows to the distributor not to think, put smaller efforts to a choice a grocery ruler and to be assured, that it will sell all (not speaking already about annual prizes and bonuses). It allows engineers not especially to plan configurations and the case - in fact will buy and so. It allows to save on promotion of the goods on the market (we shall hold back, where the saved sum disappears) - in fact all and so know, that noutbuk Sony is abruptly. If manufacturers on the market will rock there where it is necessary a solving part it is real there is a consumer. And it much more correctly and more fairly, from the point of view of any theory of functioning of the market. And, by the way speaking, thanks Acer code layout myspace notebook which has managed to shake this silent, warm and a cosy corner, has forced the market to move though somewhere, instead of to stand in convenient for the distributor to a pose. Certainly, anybody from distributors from it especially not will grow poor, can, the profit level is a little will come nearer to real, characteristic for the Europe. About American to system even it is not dreamed while. And then, quite probably, there can come "recoil", when everyone will order bututbukov it is less and on the market deficiency is formed. However, here negative figures will turn out at everything, therefore about what premiums speech will go any more. And besides, when on the market again there will be a short-term deficiency (if everyone will operate it is identical), that the clever company which « will catch the moment » and will throw out production on the market, having lifted a corresponding marketing wave, can considerably expand the share. And if also the goods code layout myspace notebook will be good, that is chance to get a plenty loyal users. At last, in summary it would be desirable to tell here, about what. Now at us calculation of the market on 20 year - 6 pieces And at it with might and main speak about the termination of growth. Whether So it? At me there was an interesting idea on this account (though not it can be charged, that an idea correct), its essence here, in what. Buyers have terminated not, and resources on purchase there have terminated, where there are sellers. Conditionally speaking, in Moscow all noutbuki already have bought. And in other places vendory' especially to go not want as it it is dear, and it is not clear, will pay back there all or not. Terribly. It would not be desirable vkidy'vat' money. In regions go, but melen'kimi-melen'kimi shajochkami. Half of questions of regional users at us in a forum « as to you this model who saw, and that at us carry month and code layout myspace notebook only under the order ». About what it speaks? About volume, that vendor and the distributor not give even the sample, and for the seller not wishes to buy the money - suddenly demand not will be. Greed up to a level of nonsense and desire to buy a new Mercedes at everything, beginning from local "top-managers", finishing customs and Moscow SE`S. In summary in region it is presented three « the most running to model » (I shall risk to assume, that two from them - cheap Acer), the rest - under the order on an advance payment with by unknown terms of delivery. I congratulate, successful business dealing. At deficiency to the user there is no place to disappear. Will buy both under the order, and without preliminary check, and will give money for code layout myspace notebook month before will see noutbuk. On the developed market these focuses not will pass, therefore of the developed market are afraid. But what to do? For civilization it is necessary to pay, and change of accents in attitudes of the seller and the buyer - its basic attribute.

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